I am different, like you

Of course I am different. Everyone’s unique in some kind of way, so what makes me believe I am really different. Well I only mean it in a poker kind of way. My whole view on it, just is different compared to other players.

I’ve been talking a lot with poker players. Beginners, enthusiasts, hardcore grinders and pro’s. Mostly they are thinking and talking about shortterm poker. Bad beats, how variance kills them this week, particular hands and so on. Hardly anybody is talking about long term poker. That’s weird I think, because the nature of poker is long term.

Total on dice Pairs of dice Probability
2 1+1 1/36 = 3%
3 1+2, 2+1 2/36 = 6%
4 1+3, 2+2, 3+1 3/36 = 8%
5 1+4, 2+3, 3+2, 4+1 4/36 = 11%
6 1+5, 2+4, 3+3, 4+2, 5+1 5/36 = 14%
7 1+6, 2+5, 3+4, 4+3, 5+2, 6+1 6/36 = 17%
8 2+6, 3+5, 4+4, 5+3, 6+2 5/36 = 14%
9 3+6, 4+5, 5+4, 6+3 4/36 = 11%
10 4+6, 5+5, 6+4 3/36 = 8%
11 5+6, 6+5 2/36 = 6%
12 6+6 1/36 = 3%

Every poker player understands the following principle. Roll 2 dice, 7 will be thrown most.

But that’s long term. You try to throw 10 times with those 2 dices and you’ll be surprised how often 7 is thrown. But throw the dice 1000 times and now you’ll see it’s getting close to that 17%.

Same with poker. We realize it’s a long term game, but don’t adjust our thinking pattern.  So question remains. Why am I different?

Well now it’s getting tricky. I’ll try to explain. I only put energy in things I can control. Mental view on things like confidence, staying positive, looking at the big picture. Furthermore, I can control how I feel physically. It’s often overlooked, but in my belief it’s very important. If you feel physcially strong, you are most likely feeling mentally strong and vice versa.

We all know how it feels when you win something and feel on top of the world and the games we play after that we mostly play really well. No coincidence. It’s because we are confident and positive and knowing we play our A game and we can compete with the best.

So how do you get this state of mind when you are losing and nothing is working and even the best plays are crushed by bad luck? The answer…. Just ignore it. It’s not important if you are winning or losing. Whatever happens, just keep the right state of mind. See the big picture. Focus on things you can control. Do the same things when you are winning and losing. Most players start to learn and study the game when they are losing, but that’s wrong. You should also put a lot of effort in while you are winning. That’s why we need routines. Do the same things every day and start finetuning them. Routines seem easy, but they need a lot of discipline and determination and motivation as well.

Hopefully my post did make a bit of sense. Let me know what you guys think of it.

See you next time!




  1. the especial one says:

    I believe that most “hardcore grinders” and “pros” understand just as well as you do that poker is in fact a long term endeavor; you are not special in that regard.

    Indeed you seem to be very similar to others when you interpret cause and effect; your whole thesis relies upon the premise that talking about bad beats and variance is the result of all poker players (but yourself) misunderstanding variance and bad beats.

    That’s a big fallacy.

    I talk about variance and bad beats therefore I don’t understand how poker works.

    A person that understand variance can tell a bad beat or whine about variance. (TRUE)

    There seems to be a contradiction and therefore a fallacy.

    What about the social aspect of it? How everyone can understand and relate to each other through downswings, regardless of stakes players seem to have first hand experience with bad beats and variance…

    This explanation is short-sighted. No offense. You are no different.

  2. Thanks for your comment! Appreciated. Of course I’m not different. Title alone explains. I don’t want to be right or wrong here. Just sharing some thoughts :-)

  3. machine1984 says:

    I think he is just saying alot of people moan about bad beats when they are an intergural part of poker and the reason the fish keep coming back and will play with the sharks week in and week out. My personal view on variance is; that yes it can be sickening but i know its where my profit comes from. I think from general poker players yes you are different to an extent but to anyone who can understand the game fully you are the same.

  4. I fully appreciate your angle here Julian. Keep the ship on course despite rough waters. Youll get there :)

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